Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 13.525629 15.803486 18.289142 21.195316 24.491901 28.106991 32.362933
2025-05-11 9.527849 12.580928 16.263848 20.995790 26.872281 33.885406 42.838700
2025-05-18 7.124472 10.393156 14.665999 20.575245 28.436890 38.426763 51.952873
2025-05-25 5.525355 8.791767 13.366840 20.098110 29.575898 42.245910 60.221739
2025-06-01 4.379302 7.543825 12.261026 19.592400 30.437094 45.577643 67.923375
2025-06-08 3.403691 6.335302 10.975626 18.571774 30.336786 47.430779 73.580102
2025-06-15 3.020480 5.993335 10.935329 19.370216 32.919452 53.230998 85.178105
2025-06-22 2.628714 5.555444 10.659117 19.727252 34.807830 58.090230 95.672478
2025-06-29 2.191978 4.947406 9.995548 19.339921 35.432070 61.015605 103.384709
2025-07-06 1.780643 4.302364 9.162024 18.537581 35.256335 62.617989 109.085359
2025-07-13 1.672620 4.251863 9.411397 19.670477 38.430996 69.777849 123.972622
2025-07-20 1.563110 4.176399 9.597307 20.694011 41.479892 76.901062 139.180117
2025-07-27 1.377295 3.916017 9.424061 21.107339 43.638985 82.954961 153.488779
2025-08-03 1.168259 3.559425 9.009818 21.026023 44.936754 87.724939 166.142133
2025-08-10 0.970101 3.178170 8.475558 20.625404 45.580764 91.383301 177.127591
2025-08-17 0.801764 2.827882 7.945137 20.150804 46.012078 94.659439 187.616202
2025-08-24 0.661018 2.512742 7.436558 19.644559 46.308783 97.677278 197.791687
2025-08-31 0.520909 2.152879 6.745487 18.621682 45.422200 98.382119 203.778431
2025-09-07 0.480217 2.100111 6.834519 19.421990 48.440182 106.735352 224.324058
2025-09-14 0.427045 1.988421 6.745290 19.779852 50.528154 113.400064 242.058195
2025-09-21 0.356551 1.789590 6.375180 19.391629 50.927212 116.734176 253.636123
2025-09-28 0.285988 1.561677 5.871783 18.587431 50.296865 117.929237 261.128476
2025-10-05 0.274831 1.573527 6.095743 19.722947 54.244729 128.753002 288.016563